Institution: Fed's Two More Rate Cuts by 2025 Seen as Virtually Certain

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/10/27 16:45:52

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BlockBeats News, October 27th, Aptus Capital Advisors Fixed Income Department Head John Luke Tyner stated that considering the Federal Reserve's shift towards focusing on the labor market and signs indicating a moderation in price pressures, it is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates twice in 2025. However, as we move into 2026, the sustainability of the rate-cutting cycle will be questioned.

The market expects the Fed to cut interest rates about three times in 2026, which would bring the federal funds rate to around 3%. As the accommodative policy gradually transmits (with a lag), we are concerned that the economy may reaccelerate while other factors such as energy prices hit bottom and rise, which could cause inflation data to bottom out again (rebound). (Jin10)

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