Analysis: The Fed May Cut Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points in October and December

BlockBeats News, October 27th: The China Gold Research Report stated that the U.S. September CPI seasonally adjusted monthly growth was 0.3%, reaching 3.0% year-on-year. The core CPI rose 0.2% month-on-month and 3.0% year-on-year, which was lower than market expectations.

Looking at the details, the drag from rent and used car prices was more pronounced, reflecting weakened demand in these areas. This is speculated to be related to Trump's policies restricting and deporting immigrants. The prices of goods affected by tariffs showed mixed movements, but the speed and magnitude of their price increases were lower than our previous expectations.

This also reflects weak end demand, as businesses find it difficult to pass on tariff costs to consumers. Service inflation remains strong. Overall, this inflation data is relatively mild, supporting the Fed's continued rate cuts. Given the downward risks in the labor market, we expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in both October and December. (FX678)